Verification

The performance of Prediktor will be verified in three ways. First, the ability of the model to predict the observed production of the wind farms will be demonstrated using the traditional means: bias and scatter. The next step is to look at how well the model predicts extreme events, here we think especially about storms; it is very well that a model can predict the production well on average, but it is very important to a utility to know how well a model can handle the rapid changes caused by the coming and going of storms. Finally, the stability of the on-line implementation will be demonstrated.

• go to the traditional verification
• go to the extreme event verification (storms)
• go to the implementation stability verification

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Gregor Giebel, Risų National Laboratory
2006-04-13