The location of the wind farms in the EU-funded project. Blue dots mark the wind farms Prediktor was used to predict for, red dots the IMM WPPT model.
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Prediktor has been verified in several projects. The results shown here are for an EU-funded project titles "Implementing short-term prediction at utilities". For the verification one year of actual production data from a number of wind farms was used. The location of the wind farms can been seen on the figure below.
The location of the wind farms in the EU-funded project. Blue dots mark the wind
farms Prediktor was used to predict for, red dots the
IMM WPPT model.
As an example of the performance of Prediktor, the predictions for the Kyndby wind farm, which consists of 21 180 kW machines totalling 3.7 GW. The green curve with the green symbols is the Prediktor results and the blue curve with the green symbols is the results of applying the persistence model (output to time t is equal to the presently observed output). One year of data has been used.
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Gregor Giebel, Risų National Laboratory
2006-04-13
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